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How to Analyze Insurers Differently from Banks

Why insurers are not banks: float vs loans, combined ratio, IFRS 17 CSM, LICAT and MCT capital, reserve development. A checklist for Canadian life and P&C insurers. Educational, not advice.

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Sun Life Building in Montreal seen above autumn trees
Sun Life Building photograph by Guilhem Vellut, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped and resized.

Banks and insurers are both regulated financials, and both sit in the financials sector of the S&P/TSX Composite, so it is tempting to read them the same way. They are mirror images. A bank lends first and hopes to collect. An insurer collects premiums first and pays claims later, investing the money (the float) in the meantime. That flips the main risks: for banks, credit losses and funding; for insurers, how accurately claims were estimated, interest rates over long periods, and catastrophes.

This is an analysis checklist that builds on our insurance explainer and the bank checklist. It is educational only.

Direct answer

Split insurers into life (Manulife, Sun Life, Great-West Lifeco, iA) and property and casualty (P&C) (Intact, Definity, Fairfax and others), then use different tools. For P&C, the key metric is the combined ratio (claims plus expenses as a share of premiums) and reserve development. For life insurers, under IFRS 17 look at the insurance service result, the contractual service margin (CSM) and new business CSM. For both, check regulatory capital: LICAT for life insurers and MCT for P&C insurers, both set by OSFI for federally regulated companies. Price-to-book and ROE still apply, as for banks.

PremiumsCollectedup frontFloat investedBonds, mortgages,equitiesClaims & benefitsPaid later,sometimes decadesInsurance resultIFRS 17service resultInvestment resultYield minusfinance expense
Insurers collect first and pay later; banks lend first and collect later. That timing flips which risks matter most.

Bank vs insurer: what to track

TopicBankInsurer
Main riskBorrowers do not repayClaims cost more than estimated
TimingLends first, collects laterCollects first, pays later
Key marginNet interest marginCombined ratio (P&C); CSM release and insurance service result (life)
Capital testCET1 ratio (OSFI CAR)LICAT total ratio (life); MCT (P&C)
Rate sensitivityNet interest incomeAsset-liability matching over long durations
Tail riskRecession credit cycleCatastrophes, pandemics, longevity, reserve strengthening
Accounting standard to knowIFRS 9IFRS 17 (since 2023) and IFRS 9
Claims (loss ratio)ExpensesUnderwriting marginHypothetical P&C insurer65%30%Hypothetical catastrophe year70%30%
Hypothetical. A 95% combined ratio leaves a 5% underwriting margin. Five extra points of catastrophe claims take it to 100%, and anything above that is an underwriting loss, leaving only investment income.

P&C checklist items

ItemWhat to look for
Combined ratio, with and without catastrophe lossesUnderlying trend vs one-off events
Prior-year reserve developmentFavourable (earlier estimates were cautious) or adverse (too optimistic)
Premium growth: rate vs exposurePrice increases can mask shrinking policy counts
ReinsuranceHow much risk is passed on and at what cost
Investment incomeYield on the portfolio vs the bond market

Life checklist items

ItemWhat to look for
Core or underlying earnings vs net incomeMarket-driven noise removed; read non-GAAP critically
CSM balance and new business CSMFuture profit stored on the balance sheet, and how much is being added
Experience gains and lossesClaims and lapses vs assumptions
Assumption changesLarge one-time changes in reserves
Asia, US and wealth mixWhere growth and risk come from; see segment reporting
LICAT ratioBuffer above OSFI’s supervisory target

Checklist

StepDone when
Life vs P&C identifiedRight toolkit chosen
Capital ratio loggedLICAT or MCT vs target
Core profitability measuredCombined ratio trend or insurance service result trend
Reserve history checkedDevelopment or assumption changes over three years
Valuation framedP/B and ROE vs peers
Tail risks notedCatastrophe, rate and longevity exposures

Go deeper

The insurance sector explainer covers how money is made; this checklist covers what to check. For capital-heavy financials more broadly, read valuing banks with P/B and ROE, which uses the same P/B logic.

Sources

  • IFRS 17 Insurance Contracts (effective January 1, 2023): contractual service margin, insurance service result.
  • OSFI Life Insurance Capital Adequacy Test (LICAT) and Minimum Capital Test (MCT) guidelines.
  • Company annual reports for the segment and metric definitions they use. Confirm current OSFI targets on the OSFI website.

Media credits

  • Hero: “Sun Life Building @ Montreal (30288567912).jpg” by Guilhem Vellut, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped and resized to 1280x720. Real photograph, not AI-generated.

By Andrew · stocksummarizer.com

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Educational only — not financial advice. Do your own research. See our disclosures.