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How to Build a Pre-Earnings Checklist for DIY Investors

Build a pre-earnings checklist: KPIs with pre-set thresholds, kill criteria review, release-day rules and a debrief booking, so results day is a comparison, not a reaction. Educational, not advice.

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Pilot in a dimly lit aircraft cockpit running through a checklist
Checklist photograph by the US Air Force, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped and resized.

Earnings day is when DIY investors make their worst decisions: rushed, emotional, reacting to a headline number and a price move. Do the thinking before the release. A pre-earnings checklist turns the day into a comparison exercise. You check the results against thresholds you wrote down when you were calm.

Educational only, not financial advice. This is the before half of a pair. The after half is how to debrief an earnings print in under an hour. Reading guides for the documents themselves are in quarterly earnings for TSX companies and the earnings press release.

Direct answer

One to two weeks before the release, confirm the date, re-read last quarter’s MD&A and any guidance, and write down three to five KPIs with pre-set thresholds (good / OK / concern / kill). Re-read your kill criteria. Pre-commit to what you will and won’t do on release day, such as no trades in the first hour and acting only when a written rule triggers. On the day, fill in the actual numbers and follow the debrief plan.

T−14 daysConfirm date,re-read last QT−7 daysWrite 3–5 KPIs+ thresholdsT−3 daysRe-read killcriteriaT−1 dayPre-commitactionsRelease dayFollow thedebrief plan
Most of the work happens a week or two before the release, when you're calm and prices aren't moving.

The checklist

#ItemDone when
1Release date and call time confirmedIn your calendar, from the company’s investor relations page
2Last quarter’s press release, MD&A and call notes re-readYou can state the three things management promised
3Guidance and its assumptions loggedWritten in your guidance commitment log
43–5 KPIs chosenTied to your thesis pillars, not generic
5Thresholds written for each KPIGood / OK / concern / kill bands set
6Kill criteria re-readFrom your Thesis → Catalyst → Kill card
7Known one-offs notedExpected restructuring, FX, weather, strikes
8Position size and max change setPer your position sizing rules
9Release-day rules writtene.g. no trades for the first hour; read the filing before the headlines
10Debrief time bookedWithin 48 hours
KPIs to watchRevenue / volumeMargin lineFCF or CFOBalance-sheet itemCompany-specific KPIThresholdsGood: above XOK: X to YConcern: below YKill: below Z(written beforehand)Pre-commitmentsNo trades in 1st hrAct only on rulesMax size changeWho / what to readDebrief by date
Fill this in a week before the release. On release day you only compare.

Choosing KPIs by business type

Business typeExample KPIsRelated post
Retail / consumerSame-store sales, gross margin, inventorySame-store sales, inventory turns
IndustrialsBacklog, book-to-bill, marginsBacklog and book-to-bill
BanksNIM, PCLs, CET1Bank operating metrics
Resource issuersProduction, unit costs, realized priceCommodity sensitivity
Software / subscriptionRecurring revenue, retention, unit economicsUnit economics

Hypothetical threshold example

KPIGoodOKConcernKill
Organic revenue growth≥ 6%3–6%0–3%< 0% two quarters running
Gross margin≥ 38%36–38%34–36%< 34% with no stated one-off
Net debt / EBITDA≤ 2.5x2.5–3.0x3.0–3.5x> 3.5x or a covenant amendment

The numbers are hypothetical. What matters is writing them down before you see the results.

Sources

  • NI 51-102 Continuous Disclosure Obligations (interim filing deadlines, MD&A, forward-looking information in Part 4A). Confirm the current text on the CSA website.
  • NP 51-201 Disclosure Standards (how issuers disseminate material information, including earnings releases and calls).
  • Gollwitzer (1999), “Implementation intentions,” American Psychologist (pre-committed if-then plans).

Media credits

  • Hero: “Running the checklist (14729226029).jpg” by US Air Force from USA, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped and resized to 1280x720. Real photograph (KC-135 pilot running a checklist), not AI-generated.

By Andrew · stocksummarizer.com

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Educational only — not financial advice. Do your own research. See our disclosures.